Market Perspectives by CIO Scott Minerd

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Scott Minerd Market Perspectives

Guggenheim Partners’ Chief Investment Officer Scott Minerd is known for his prescient calls on market events, including the 2008 sub-prime crisis, the end of the U.S. recession in 2009, the second round of quantitative easing in 2010 and the plunge in U.S. Treasury yields in 2011. As of January 2012, Mr. Minerd’s views include:

  • The U.S. economy has entered a self-sustaining recovery that will not be derailed by European recession
  • Long-term interest rates should remain low for an extended period of time; U.S. equities offer attractive opportunities for long-term investors

You can read more about Scott Minerd’s views in his written commentaries entitled “Market Perspectives,” as well as the media interviews and sector reports posted to this site. To subscribe to Perspectives, readmore please click here.

May 02, 2012

Bloomberg Businessweek: Arctic Infrastructure Opportunities

Scott Minerd, Chief Investment Officer at Guggenheim Partners LLC, talks about investment opportunities in the Arctic and Federal Reserve policy. Minerd speaks with Stephanie Ruhle from the Milken Institute 2012 Global Conference in Los Angeles on Bloomberg Television's "InBusiness."

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May 01, 2012

CNBC: Scott Minerd on Market Outlook - Live from Milken 2012

Discussing the state of the U.S. economy and where the markets are headed long-term, with Scott Minerd, Guggenheim Partners CIO.

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April 12, 2012

Fox Business: Fed Will Impose Some Sort of QE

Guggenheim Partners CIO Scott Minerd weighs in on the Fed and his outlook for interest rates.

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April 10, 2012

CNBC: Is the European Recession Getting Worse?

"Spain is on the road to restructuring, just like the rest of the European nations," says Scott Minerd, Guggenheim CIO.

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April 10, 2012

Nightly Business Report: The Market’s 5-Day Slide

Scott Minerd, Chief Investment Officer at Guggenheim Partners, shares his beliefs on the stock market’s movements of the past five sessions

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March 16, 2012

FOX Business: Minerd's Call on U.S. Treasuries

Scott Minerd of Guggenheim Partners explains what will drive interest rates higher.

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February 28, 2012

CNBC Fast Money Portfolio: Long-Term Investing Trends

Scott Minerd, Guggenheim Partners CIO, discusses his long-term strategy, investing for an asset bubble, the risk-on trade, and shorting Treasuries. Also, how best to implement and apply the trend, with the Fast Money traders.

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February 16, 2012

FOX Business: Bernanke Pushing U.S. Towards Inflation?

Guggenheim Partners CIO Scott Minerd gives his outlook for the Fed.

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February 03, 2012

Fox Business: Minerd Predicts 7.7% Unemployment by November

CIO Scott Minerd explains why he is bullish on job growth.

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January 31, 2012

CNBC: Why I Like U.S. Stocks: CIO Scott Minerd

CIO Scott Minerd explains why stocks will do well this year.

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Market Perspectives

Market Perspectives


March 2012

Winning the War in Europe

In centuries past, there have been many wars fought to bring Europe under one economic and political union. Today, in many ways, Europe is engaged in another war – a war to preserve the hard-fought gains of monetary and fiscal union built over the past five decades. Just as past European conflicts resulted in grave economic costs and massive amounts of debt, this fight has taken a similar path. How long will it take to resolve? The interwar period from 1918 to 1939 may offer some insight.

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December 2011

The Triumph of Optimism

Are the dark clouds finally breaking? There is positive economic momentum in the United States, progress in Europe, and global policy accommodations being implemented that are pro-cyclical and supportive of longer-term economic growth. Over the course of history there is a certain triumph of optimism. From an investor’s perspective, the best time to be an optimist is when there is a parade of pessimism marching down Main Street.

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November 2011

Return of the Phillips Curve

Worried about millions of Americans out of work, some members of the Federal Reserve’s policy committee say they’re willing to tolerate higher inflation. The idea that rising prices can reduce unemployment is rooted in the Phillips Curve, a half-century old economic theory. History shows the trade-off can hold, but only temporarily and only if expectations of inflation are well anchored.

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September 2011

Keep Calm, Carry On

Financial markets have been unnerved by Europe's sovereign debt crisis, a slowdown in global economic growth, and political rancor; but for far-sighted investors, today's market turmoil presents a rare opportunity. The torrent of liquidity unleashed by major central banks should be a boon for asset prices in the medium-term. Fundamentals, at least in the U.S., also remain far healthier than the market's recent slump implies.

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July 2011

Europe’s Cognitive Dissonance

European policymakers have had a hard time accepting the reality of the region’s debt crisis. Bailouts and belt tightening have merely postponed the inevitable: a restructuring of sovereign debts and harmonization of fiscal policies.

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Scott Minerd

Chief Investment Officer Scott Minerd guides Guggenheim’s investment strategies, helps clients construct portfolios and leads a research group focused on global economic trends. Mr. Minerd guides Guggenheim’s views on global developments, including geopolitical issues, monetary and fiscal policies and changes in the regulatory landscape. He is regularly featured on CNBC, Bloomberg News and Fox Business News.
 

Sector Report

High Yield Sector Report

High Yield and Bank Loan Outlook

The leveraged credit market began the year in strong fashion with yields across the credit spectrum approaching historical lows. Investors should realize that it is no longer early in the credit market rally. We are coming into the seventh inning stretch and it is getting tougher to find attractive opportunities.

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Investment Research

Guggenheim Partners Investment Research

Equity Macro-Themes

In this issue of the Guggenheim Investment Focus, we offer our macro-perspectives on why we believe U.S. equities are well-positioned to sustain the current bull market advance for an extended period of time.

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